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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+4.85vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.82+6.52vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.42+4.03vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+2.09vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.75+0.92vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.25+1.15vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.51-0.71vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.81+1.35vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.66+1.64vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59-0.69vs Predicted
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11Drexel University1.12-0.08vs Predicted
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12Princeton University1.87-0.93vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-2.30vs Predicted
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14Hampton University1.47-2.36vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.21-3.16vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.30-5.78vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.89-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6512.7%1st Place
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8.52George Washington University1.825.5%1st Place
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7.03University of Pennsylvania2.428.2%1st Place
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6.09Cornell University2.3810.8%1st Place
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5.92Georgetown University2.7512.3%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Naval Academy2.257.7%1st Place
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6.29SUNY Maritime College2.5110.1%1st Place
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9.35Old Dominion University1.814.2%1st Place
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10.64Washington College1.663.5%1st Place
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9.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.594.1%1st Place
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10.92Drexel University1.123.1%1st Place
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11.07Princeton University1.873.0%1st Place
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10.7Palm Beach Atlantic University1.263.4%1st Place
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11.64Hampton University1.472.9%1st Place
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11.84Christopher Newport University1.212.1%1st Place
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10.22Webb Institute1.303.0%1st Place
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10.45Fordham University1.893.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Hayden Earl | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Toby Sullivan | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% |
| Connor Mraz | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% |
| Thomas Green | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 15.2% |
| Brian Fox | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 16.7% |
| Everett Botwinick | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.