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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Colgate University0.82+1.56vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.31+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo0.87-0.55vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-0.17-0.27vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.38-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Colgate University0.820.3%1st Place
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3.17Cornell University0.310.2%1st Place
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2.45University of Buffalo0.870.3%1st Place
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3.73Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
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3.1Syracuse University0.380.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Libby | 27.5% | 25.3% | 21.3% | 15.8% | 10.1% |
| Max Joh-Carnella | 15.6% | 18.9% | 20.7% | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| Andrew Green | 30.7% | 24.6% | 21.7% | 15.0% | 8.0% |
| Charles Herlihy | 9.1% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 20.9% | 40.8% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 17.1% | 19.5% | 18.8% | 25.8% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.