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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+2.55vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+0.35vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+2.26vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.74+0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.23+0.04vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.30-1.15vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.34-0.51vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.53-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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2.35Dartmouth College3.830.4%1st Place
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5.26Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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4.1Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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4.85Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.49Connecticut College1.340.0%1st Place
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4.36Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 15.8% | 19.7% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 37.3% | 25.4% | 16.9% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Perry | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 18.9% | 16.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 11.8% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 4.6% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 17.7% | 11.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 11.8% |
| Sarah Price | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 46.7% |
| Caitlin Watson | 11.6% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.