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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.75+5.29vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.81+7.52vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+3.13vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+2.41vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.51+1.52vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.25+1.43vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.73+0.42vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.21+4.01vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59+0.58vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.53+0.05vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.47+0.91vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.89-1.35vs Predicted
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13Princeton University1.87-1.75vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.82-5.53vs Predicted
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15Drexel University1.12-3.71vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.66-5.12vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.42-9.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Georgetown University2.759.3%1st Place
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9.52Old Dominion University1.815.5%1st Place
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6.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.9%1st Place
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6.41Cornell University2.3810.0%1st Place
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6.52SUNY Maritime College2.5110.1%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Naval Academy2.256.8%1st Place
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7.42Webb Institute1.737.8%1st Place
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12.01Christopher Newport University1.212.5%1st Place
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9.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.594.4%1st Place
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10.05Fordham University1.533.7%1st Place
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11.91Hampton University1.472.1%1st Place
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10.65Fordham University1.893.6%1st Place
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11.25Princeton University1.872.9%1st Place
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8.47George Washington University1.826.3%1st Place
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11.29Drexel University1.122.6%1st Place
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10.88Washington College1.663.2%1st Place
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7.18University of Pennsylvania2.428.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Earl | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Rayne Duff | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Brian Fox | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 18.4% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Michael Burns | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 17.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% |
| Connor Mraz | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Toby Sullivan | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.3% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.