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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.78+4.35vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.50+3.91vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+2.41vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.83+1.33vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.51-1.37vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50-0.07vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.61+0.70vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.61-4.64vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.76-3.60vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.80-2.66vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.29-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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5.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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5.33Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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3.63Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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5.93Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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3.36College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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5.4Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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7.34University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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10.64Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Heausler | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Christina Pryne | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 0.8% |
| Megan Magill | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 0.3% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Sydney Bolger | 20.4% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 0.8% |
| Christine Porter | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 17.6% | 30.0% | 5.8% |
| Allison Blecher | 23.5% | 20.3% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 18.5% | 24.4% | 4.1% |
| Sarah Hughes | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 6.6% | 86.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.