← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.20+4.92vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+4.70vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+8.38vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.57+0.84vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.16+1.04vs Predicted
-
6Hampton University0.72+6.42vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-0.33vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute1.73-1.75vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University1.54-0.43vs Predicted
-
10Columbia University0.43+2.29vs Predicted
-
11Cornell University1.79-4.00vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University1.26-3.47vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University0.73-2.24vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University1.07-3.30vs Predicted
-
15Penn State University1.13-4.96vs Predicted
-
16Virginia Tech-0.20-2.07vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College-0.13-3.05vs Predicted
-
18Washington College-0.55-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.92Georgetown University2.2011.3%1st Place
-
6.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.138.8%1st Place
-
11.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.642.8%1st Place
-
4.84U. S. Naval Academy2.5714.8%1st Place
-
6.04University of Pennsylvania2.169.7%1st Place
-
12.42Hampton University0.722.1%1st Place
-
6.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.059.3%1st Place
-
6.25Webb Institute1.739.3%1st Place
-
8.57Fordham University1.544.5%1st Place
-
12.29Columbia University0.431.6%1st Place
-
7.0Cornell University1.798.1%1st Place
-
8.53Old Dominion University1.265.2%1st Place
-
10.76Christopher Newport University0.732.7%1st Place
-
10.7George Washington University1.072.9%1st Place
-
10.04Penn State University1.133.4%1st Place
-
13.93Virginia Tech-0.201.4%1st Place
-
13.95SUNY Maritime College-0.131.3%1st Place
-
15.02Washington College-0.550.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Henry Allgeier | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 7.8% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 7.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Hale | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 18.9% |
| Luke Barker | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 19.4% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.