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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+2.54vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+0.35vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+1.07vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.53+0.49vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.34+1.51vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.30-1.15vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.09-1.70vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.23-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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2.35Dartmouth College3.830.4%1st Place
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4.07Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.49Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.51Connecticut College1.340.0%1st Place
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4.85Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.3Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 15.8% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 37.1% | 25.5% | 17.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 12.0% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 4.1% |
| Caitlin Watson | 9.8% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% |
| Sarah Price | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 18.8% | 46.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 8.1% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 10.8% |
| Rachel Perry | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 20.5% | 17.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.