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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+1.32vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.09+3.27vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.01+0.62vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.23+1.04vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74-0.92vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.30-1.18vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.34-0.51vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.53-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Dartmouth College3.830.4%1st Place
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5.27Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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3.62Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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5.04University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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4.08Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.82Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.49Connecticut College1.340.0%1st Place
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4.36Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 38.2% | 27.2% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Perry | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 15.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 16.3% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 18.3% | 13.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 10.6% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 3.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 11.5% |
| Sarah Price | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 46.8% |
| Caitlin Watson | 9.1% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.