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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+6.27vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.66+8.79vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.53+7.14vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59+5.43vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.14vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.51+0.48vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.87+4.11vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.81+1.27vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.75-2.93vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.25-2.63vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.27-0.59vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.89-1.48vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-7.06vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.38-7.55vs Predicted
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15Drexel University1.12-3.96vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.21-4.29vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.47-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Webb Institute1.738.9%1st Place
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10.79Washington College1.663.1%1st Place
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10.14Fordham University1.533.1%1st Place
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9.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.593.9%1st Place
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7.14University of Pennsylvania2.428.6%1st Place
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6.48SUNY Maritime College2.5110.5%1st Place
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11.11Princeton University1.872.8%1st Place
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9.27Old Dominion University1.815.1%1st Place
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6.07Georgetown University2.7511.5%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Naval Academy2.258.4%1st Place
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10.41George Washington University1.273.3%1st Place
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10.52Fordham University1.892.7%1st Place
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5.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.8%1st Place
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6.45Cornell University2.389.1%1st Place
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11.04Drexel University1.123.6%1st Place
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11.71Christopher Newport University1.213.0%1st Place
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11.87Hampton University1.471.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% |
| Michael Burns | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Connor Mraz | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Earl | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Toby Sullivan | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% |
| Brian Fox | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 17.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.