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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+1.35vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.09+3.25vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.34+3.38vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.30+0.91vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01-1.38vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.53-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.23-1.93vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Dartmouth College3.830.4%1st Place
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5.25Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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6.38Connecticut College1.340.0%1st Place
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4.91Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.62Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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4.45Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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3.98Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 36.8% | 27.5% | 16.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Rachel Perry | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 19.8% | 14.7% |
| Sarah Price | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 46.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 10.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 14.9% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 7.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 8.2% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 14.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 11.7% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.