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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.42+6.16vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.25+5.19vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+3.44vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.73+3.24vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59+4.41vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.89+4.57vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.51-0.41vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-1.95vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.75-2.88vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.81-0.47vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.27-0.64vs Predicted
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12Drexel University1.12-0.85vs Predicted
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13Princeton University1.87-2.10vs Predicted
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14Hampton University1.47-2.28vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.53-4.98vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.21-4.09vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.66-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16University of Pennsylvania2.428.2%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Naval Academy2.258.7%1st Place
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6.44Cornell University2.389.6%1st Place
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7.24Webb Institute1.737.8%1st Place
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9.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.595.1%1st Place
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10.57Fordham University1.893.1%1st Place
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6.59SUNY Maritime College2.519.0%1st Place
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6.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.6%1st Place
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6.12Georgetown University2.7511.2%1st Place
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9.53Old Dominion University1.814.7%1st Place
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10.36George Washington University1.274.4%1st Place
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11.15Drexel University1.122.6%1st Place
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10.9Princeton University1.873.2%1st Place
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11.72Hampton University1.472.3%1st Place
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10.02Fordham University1.533.5%1st Place
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11.91Christopher Newport University1.212.7%1st Place
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10.65Washington College1.663.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
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Jordan Bruce | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
Gavin McJones | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
Hayden Earl | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Rayne Duff | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
Nicholas Sessions | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
Kenneth Corsig | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% |
Benton Amthor | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Leo Boucher | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Mariner Fagan | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Noyl Odom | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
Oscar MacGillivray | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% |
Toby Sullivan | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% |
Connor Mraz | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% |
Valerio Palamara | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 17.0% |
Michael Burns | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% |
Brian Fox | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 17.1% |
Stewart Gurnell | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.