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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+1.30vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.09+3.29vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+1.05vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.53+0.45vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01-1.42vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.30-1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.23-1.96vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.34-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Dartmouth College3.830.4%1st Place
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5.29Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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4.05Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.45Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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3.58Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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4.84Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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6.44Connecticut College1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 38.3% | 27.3% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Perry | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 17.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 12.3% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 3.8% |
| Caitlin Watson | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 6.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 14.8% | 19.1% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 11.9% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 19.2% | 13.9% |
| Sarah Price | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.