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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.86+6.57vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.97+8.80vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.88+4.83vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.90+3.05vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+3.71vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.48+6.64vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.60-1.79vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.84+3.13vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-3.66vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.59-1.87vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.72+0.24vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.09-5.45vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-5.48vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.43-5.58vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.62-6.51vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.19-2.48vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.02-2.55vs Predicted
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18Drexel University-1.13-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57George Washington University1.867.2%1st Place
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10.8Cornell University0.973.4%1st Place
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7.83SUNY Maritime College1.886.2%1st Place
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7.05University of Pennsylvania1.908.9%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.5%1st Place
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12.64Christopher Newport University0.481.9%1st Place
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5.21U. S. Naval Academy2.6014.2%1st Place
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11.13Princeton University0.842.9%1st Place
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5.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5711.7%1st Place
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8.13Old Dominion University1.596.3%1st Place
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11.24Hampton University0.723.0%1st Place
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6.55Georgetown University2.098.8%1st Place
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7.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.776.4%1st Place
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8.42Webb Institute1.435.7%1st Place
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8.49Fordham University1.626.3%1st Place
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13.52Washington College0.191.2%1st Place
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14.45University of Virginia0.021.1%1st Place
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16.39Drexel University-1.130.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Timms | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Spencer Barnes | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Javier Garcon | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| David Grace | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 5.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Edward Cook | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 11.8% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 24.1% | 17.9% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 16.1% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.