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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+2.54vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.30+2.89vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+1.07vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.53+0.47vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+0.29vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83-3.66vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.34-0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.23-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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4.89Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.07Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.47Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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5.29Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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2.34Dartmouth College3.830.4%1st Place
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6.48Connecticut College1.340.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 16.8% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Kate Levinson | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 10.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 13.5% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 4.8% |
| Caitlin Watson | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 7.4% |
| Rachel Perry | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 20.2% | 15.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 35.8% | 27.4% | 17.8% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Price | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 17.9% | 47.3% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.