← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.01+2.51vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.83+0.35vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.09+2.25vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.74+0.10vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.30-0.09vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.53-1.58vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.23-1.95vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.34-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.51Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
-
2.35Dartmouth College3.830.4%1st Place
-
5.25Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
-
4.1Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
-
4.91Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
-
4.42Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
-
5.05University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
-
6.4Connecticut College1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 17.2% | 18.3% | 19.1% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 36.5% | 26.7% | 17.3% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Perry | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 17.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 11.9% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 10.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 8.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 15.0% |
| Sarah Price | 2.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 20.5% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.