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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+3.97vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.86+5.68vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.32vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.09+2.60vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.71+3.40vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.59+2.21vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.90+0.14vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.84+3.19vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.62-0.61vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-1.28vs Predicted
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11Cornell University0.97-0.06vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-4.44vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.48-0.58vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.72-2.73vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.88-7.31vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.20-2.31vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.02-2.64vs Predicted
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18Drexel University-1.13-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97U. S. Naval Academy2.6015.9%1st Place
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7.68George Washington University1.866.8%1st Place
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5.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5713.7%1st Place
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6.6Georgetown University2.098.8%1st Place
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8.4Webb Institute1.715.1%1st Place
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8.21Old Dominion University1.596.6%1st Place
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7.14University of Pennsylvania1.907.6%1st Place
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11.19Princeton University0.842.9%1st Place
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8.39Fordham University1.625.5%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.3%1st Place
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10.94Cornell University0.971.8%1st Place
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7.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.1%1st Place
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12.42Christopher Newport University0.481.7%1st Place
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11.27Hampton University0.722.1%1st Place
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7.69SUNY Maritime College1.887.0%1st Place
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13.69Washington College0.201.1%1st Place
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14.36University of Virginia0.021.1%1st Place
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16.47Drexel University-1.130.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 15.9% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Cook | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Schmid | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Javier Garcon | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Asher Green | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Grace | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 4.9% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 11.3% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 16.7% | 24.0% | 17.2% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 16.1% | 59.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.