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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.74+2.99vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.30+2.91vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83-0.70vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01-0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.23+0.05vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.09-0.77vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.53-2.50vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.34-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.91Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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2.3Dartmouth College3.830.4%1st Place
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3.62Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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5.05University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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5.23Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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4.5Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.4Connecticut College1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 12.4% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 12.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 38.1% | 25.7% | 18.1% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 15.4% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 12.7% |
| Rachel Perry | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 17.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 7.8% |
| Sarah Price | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 19.2% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.