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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+4.42vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.86+5.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.98vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.88+3.98vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.52vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.90+1.08vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.71+1.35vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.42+0.80vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.09-2.43vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-1.27vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.72+0.16vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.02+2.44vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.59-5.08vs Predicted
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14Cornell University0.97-3.28vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.84-3.92vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.20-2.21vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.48-4.47vs Predicted
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18Drexel University-1.13-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5712.1%1st Place
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7.48George Washington University1.868.7%1st Place
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4.98U. S. Naval Academy2.6014.9%1st Place
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7.98SUNY Maritime College1.885.9%1st Place
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7.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.776.7%1st Place
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7.08University of Pennsylvania1.907.8%1st Place
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8.35Webb Institute1.715.9%1st Place
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8.8Fordham University1.424.3%1st Place
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6.57Georgetown University2.099.2%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.7%1st Place
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11.16Hampton University0.722.6%1st Place
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14.44University of Virginia0.020.9%1st Place
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7.92Old Dominion University1.595.8%1st Place
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10.72Cornell University0.973.5%1st Place
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11.08Princeton University0.843.0%1st Place
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13.79Washington College0.201.3%1st Place
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12.53Christopher Newport University0.482.1%1st Place
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16.45Drexel University-1.130.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 8.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 14.9% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Barnes | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Javier Garcon | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Schmid | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Edward Cook | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Connor Lothrop | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 21.4% | 17.7% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Asher Green | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 21.4% | 12.3% |
| David Grace | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 5.5% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 16.2% | 57.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.