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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+1.33vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.23+3.01vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.01+0.59vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.53+0.48vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+0.30vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.30-1.20vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.34-0.51vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Dartmouth College3.830.4%1st Place
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5.01University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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3.59Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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4.48Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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5.3Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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4.8Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.49Connecticut College1.340.0%1st Place
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3.99Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 36.9% | 28.7% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 12.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 16.4% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Caitlin Watson | 9.5% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 7.3% |
| Rachel Perry | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 20.7% | 15.5% |
| Kate Levinson | 8.5% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 11.0% |
| Sarah Price | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 17.7% | 47.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 12.7% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.