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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+1.29vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+1.62vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.53+1.47vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.23+1.02vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+0.23vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.74-1.96vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.30-2.08vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.34-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Dartmouth College3.830.4%1st Place
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3.62Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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4.47Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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5.23Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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4.04Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.92Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.42Connecticut College1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 39.0% | 25.0% | 17.0% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 15.2% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 7.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 13.6% |
| Rachel Perry | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 16.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 13.0% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 4.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 12.5% |
| Sarah Price | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 19.9% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.