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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.42+7.99vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.86+5.37vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.88+4.81vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.84+7.22vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.60-0.05vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+1.46vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.56vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.71+0.33vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.57+0.33vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-1.26vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.90-3.89vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.09-5.45vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.72-1.90vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.20-0.20vs Predicted
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15Cornell University0.97-4.23vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.02-1.61vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.73-5.78vs Predicted
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18Drexel University-1.13-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99Fordham University1.425.1%1st Place
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7.37George Washington University1.866.8%1st Place
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7.81SUNY Maritime College1.887.5%1st Place
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11.22Princeton University0.842.5%1st Place
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4.95U. S. Naval Academy2.6016.0%1st Place
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7.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.776.8%1st Place
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5.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5711.7%1st Place
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8.33Webb Institute1.716.3%1st Place
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9.33Old Dominion University1.574.5%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.415.5%1st Place
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7.11University of Pennsylvania1.907.1%1st Place
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6.55Georgetown University2.099.0%1st Place
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11.1Hampton University0.722.9%1st Place
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13.8Washington College0.201.3%1st Place
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10.77Cornell University0.973.0%1st Place
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14.39University of Virginia0.020.8%1st Place
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11.22Christopher Newport University0.732.8%1st Place
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16.42Drexel University-1.130.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckett Kumler | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Owen Timms | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Asher Green | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Nathan Smith | 16.0% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| William Weinbecker | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Javier Garcon | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Edward Cook | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 23.1% | 10.9% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Connor Lothrop | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 23.8% | 16.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.