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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+8.39vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.95+7.12vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+5.85vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.98+5.03vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.05+3.66vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.710.00vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota2.53+8.66vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.29vs Predicted
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9Tufts University4.08-0.53vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-0.73vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02+2.45vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University4.01-2.89vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.03+0.63vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.16-1.28vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.78-5.06vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.06-2.83vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.88-7.66vs Predicted
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18Yale University4.55-11.30vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.93vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin2.85-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.12College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.03Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.66Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.0Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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15.66University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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9.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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8.47Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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13.45University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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9.11Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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13.63Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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12.72Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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9.94Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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13.17SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.34Boston College3.880.0%1st Place
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6.7Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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14.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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14.15University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Ben Spector | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Colin Smith | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 25.7% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| William Haeger | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 11.5% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Ian Towill | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% |
| Gram Slattery | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 8.7% |
| Alex Cook | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Graham Landy | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.5% |
| Andrew Fox | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.