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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.16+4.90vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.73+4.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.57+1.91vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.54+4.74vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+1.59vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.22+2.91vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07+3.64vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20-2.19vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-2.04vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.79-3.15vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.73-0.34vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.72+0.39vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.13+1.09vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-2.79vs Predicted
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15Penn State University1.13-5.06vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.43-3.58vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.55-1.99vs Predicted
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18Virginia Tech-0.20-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9University of Pennsylvania2.1610.8%1st Place
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6.25Webb Institute1.739.0%1st Place
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4.91U. S. Naval Academy2.5714.8%1st Place
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8.74Fordham University1.545.3%1st Place
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6.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0510.0%1st Place
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8.91Old Dominion University1.224.0%1st Place
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10.64George Washington University1.073.3%1st Place
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5.81Georgetown University2.2011.2%1st Place
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6.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.137.0%1st Place
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6.85Cornell University1.798.6%1st Place
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10.66Christopher Newport University0.732.9%1st Place
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12.39Hampton University0.721.9%1st Place
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14.09SUNY Maritime College-0.130.9%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.642.6%1st Place
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9.94Penn State University1.133.6%1st Place
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12.42Columbia University0.432.1%1st Place
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15.01Washington College-0.550.4%1st Place
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13.73Virginia Tech-0.201.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 14.8% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Anderson | 10.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Diego Escobar | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% |
| Luke Barker | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 19.9% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Eva DeCastro | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 7.9% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 17.9% | 34.6% |
| Daniel Hale | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.