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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+5.13vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+3.27vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.88+4.67vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.86+3.37vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.34vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.42+2.68vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.90-0.06vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.71+0.24vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.60-4.05vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.57-0.71vs Predicted
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11Cornell University0.97-0.40vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-3.52vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.72-2.13vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.20-0.66vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.73-4.01vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.84-5.00vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-1.13-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Georgetown University2.209.8%1st Place
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5.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5712.2%1st Place
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7.67SUNY Maritime College1.887.0%1st Place
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7.37George Washington University1.867.0%1st Place
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7.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.776.9%1st Place
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8.68Fordham University1.425.5%1st Place
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6.94University of Pennsylvania1.908.5%1st Place
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8.24Webb Institute1.716.0%1st Place
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4.95U. S. Naval Academy2.6014.2%1st Place
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9.29Old Dominion University1.574.6%1st Place
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10.6Cornell University0.973.0%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.415.1%1st Place
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10.87Hampton University0.723.0%1st Place
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13.34Washington College0.201.6%1st Place
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10.99Christopher Newport University0.732.4%1st Place
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11.0Princeton University0.842.8%1st Place
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15.83Drexel University-1.130.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Owen Timms | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Javier Garcon | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Smith | 14.2% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 2.4% |
| William Weinbecker | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 3.8% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 28.2% | 15.6% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 3.6% |
| Asher Green | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 3.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 12.2% | 68.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.