← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.03+12.25vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University4.71+3.94vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.98+6.18vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+5.26vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College3.78+4.80vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.95+3.25vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University4.08+1.85vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.16vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.40vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.29vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University4.01-2.01vs Predicted
-
12Yale University4.55-5.24vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College4.05-3.98vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island3.02-0.67vs Predicted
-
15Boston College3.88-5.57vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University3.16-3.30vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.87vs Predicted
-
18Stanford University4.05-9.22vs Predicted
-
19University of Minnesota2.53-3.73vs Predicted
-
20University of Wisconsin2.85-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
13.25Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
-
5.94Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
9.18Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
-
9.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
-
9.8Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
9.25College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
-
8.85Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
9.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
-
13.29SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
-
8.99Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
-
6.76Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
9.02Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
13.33University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
-
9.43Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
-
12.7Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
-
14.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
8.78Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
-
15.27University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
-
14.21University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Towill | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Ben Spector | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| William Haeger | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Steel | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Graham Landy | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% |
| Alex Cook | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.6% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Drake Lundeen | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 25.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.