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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+4.45vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+5.34vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.42+5.80vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.86+3.47vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.88+2.88vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+2.62vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.73+4.19vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.90-0.88vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-2.68vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.84+0.96vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.59-2.88vs Predicted
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12Cornell University0.97-1.35vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.60-7.89vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.72-3.08vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.71-7.01vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.20-2.72vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-1.13-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5711.7%1st Place
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7.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.2%1st Place
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8.8Fordham University1.424.4%1st Place
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7.47George Washington University1.866.6%1st Place
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7.88SUNY Maritime College1.886.8%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.415.1%1st Place
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11.19Christopher Newport University0.732.5%1st Place
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7.12University of Pennsylvania1.908.1%1st Place
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6.32Georgetown University2.208.8%1st Place
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10.96Princeton University0.843.6%1st Place
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8.12Old Dominion University1.595.9%1st Place
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10.65Cornell University0.973.4%1st Place
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5.11U. S. Naval Academy2.6014.9%1st Place
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10.92Hampton University0.722.9%1st Place
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7.99Webb Institute1.716.4%1st Place
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13.28Washington College0.201.1%1st Place
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15.75Drexel University-1.130.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Owen Timms | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Barnes | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| William Weinbecker | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 3.3% |
| Javier Garcon | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Asher Green | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 3.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 14.9% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 4.1% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 27.3% | 16.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 12.3% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.