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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.88+8.46vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+7.25vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.05+5.88vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+4.60vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+3.92vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.55+0.67vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.79vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.78+1.67vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.30vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.71-4.01vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.28vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota2.53+3.50vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University4.01-3.76vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.95-4.92vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College4.05-6.26vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.06-2.81vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.85-3.10vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.16-5.12vs Predicted
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19Boston University3.03-5.81vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island3.02-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.46Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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9.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.88Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.92Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.67Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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9.67Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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9.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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5.99Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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14.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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15.5University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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9.24Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.08College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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13.19SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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13.9University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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12.88Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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13.19Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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13.48University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| William Haeger | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Colin Smith | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Graham Landy | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 14.8% |
| Drake Lundeen | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 28.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Ben Spector | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Steel | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% |
| Ian Towill | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.