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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.88+6.74vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+4.28vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.73+7.96vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.05vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.71+3.33vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.59+2.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+1.61vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-2.62vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.86-1.67vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.20+3.43vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.90-3.91vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-4.49vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.72-1.93vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.42-5.37vs Predicted
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15Cornell University0.97-4.34vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-1.13-0.20vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.84-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74SUNY Maritime College1.886.8%1st Place
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6.28Georgetown University2.209.6%1st Place
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10.96Christopher Newport University0.732.3%1st Place
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5.05U. S. Naval Academy2.6013.6%1st Place
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8.33Webb Institute1.715.9%1st Place
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8.15Old Dominion University1.595.8%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.415.5%1st Place
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5.38St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5713.6%1st Place
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7.33George Washington University1.867.0%1st Place
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13.43Washington College0.201.2%1st Place
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7.09University of Pennsylvania1.908.2%1st Place
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7.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.776.9%1st Place
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11.07Hampton University0.722.9%1st Place
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8.63Fordham University1.425.2%1st Place
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10.66Cornell University0.973.0%1st Place
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15.8Drexel University-1.130.1%1st Place
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10.99Princeton University0.842.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Barnes | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 4.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 13.6% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| William Weinbecker | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 13.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 28.1% | 16.0% |
| Javier Garcon | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 3.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 3.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 12.2% | 67.2% |
| Asher Green | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.