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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+3.92vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.88+6.02vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.84+7.87vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.59+3.98vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+3.58vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.42+2.53vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.86+0.64vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.58vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-2.62vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.90-3.00vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.72+0.01vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-6.50vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.73-1.87vs Predicted
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14Cornell University0.97-3.38vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.71-6.69vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.20-2.74vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-1.13-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92U. S. Naval Academy2.6014.5%1st Place
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8.02SUNY Maritime College1.885.1%1st Place
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10.87Princeton University0.843.0%1st Place
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7.98Old Dominion University1.595.8%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.415.5%1st Place
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8.53Fordham University1.425.1%1st Place
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7.64George Washington University1.866.2%1st Place
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7.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.0%1st Place
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6.38Georgetown University2.2010.2%1st Place
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7.0University of Pennsylvania1.908.1%1st Place
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11.01Hampton University0.722.9%1st Place
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5.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5713.4%1st Place
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11.13Christopher Newport University0.732.6%1st Place
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10.62Cornell University0.972.9%1st Place
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8.31Webb Institute1.716.0%1st Place
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13.26Washington College0.201.3%1st Place
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15.82Drexel University-1.130.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 14.5% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Barnes | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Asher Green | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 3.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| William Weinbecker | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Owen Timms | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Javier Garcon | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 3.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 3.2% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 2.8% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 27.0% | 15.5% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 12.0% | 68.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.