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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+12.13vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+7.89vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.95+6.35vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.88+5.45vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+4.28vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University4.01+2.95vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05+1.96vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.98+0.82vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.71-3.16vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.55-3.44vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.47vs Predicted
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12Stanford University4.05-3.11vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-3.42vs Predicted
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14Tufts University4.08-5.47vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.96vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-2.68vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota2.53-1.81vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.03-4.60vs Predicted
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19Harvard University3.05-5.90vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin2.85-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.13SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.89Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.35College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.45Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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8.95Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.96Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.82Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.84Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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6.56Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.89Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.53Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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14.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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13.32University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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15.19University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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13.4Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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13.1Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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14.18University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Steel | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Ben Spector | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Alex Cook | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Colin Smith | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| William Haeger | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 13.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% |
| Drake Lundeen | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 22.6% |
| Ian Towill | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% |
| Andrew Fox | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.