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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+4.24vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.42+6.82vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.59+5.03vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+2.43vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.88+2.86vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.84+5.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.60-1.82vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.86-0.57vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.90-3.10vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-3.49vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.71-3.73vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.73-2.00vs Predicted
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14Cornell University0.97-3.30vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.20-1.71vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.72-5.01vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-1.13-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5713.1%1st Place
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8.82Fordham University1.424.5%1st Place
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8.03Old Dominion University1.595.2%1st Place
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6.43Georgetown University2.208.8%1st Place
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7.86SUNY Maritime College1.886.7%1st Place
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11.03Princeton University0.843.2%1st Place
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5.18U. S. Naval Academy2.6013.2%1st Place
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7.43George Washington University1.867.5%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.8%1st Place
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6.9University of Pennsylvania1.909.5%1st Place
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7.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.776.5%1st Place
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8.27Webb Institute1.715.9%1st Place
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11.0Christopher Newport University0.732.5%1st Place
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10.7Cornell University0.973.9%1st Place
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13.29Washington College0.201.2%1st Place
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10.99Hampton University0.723.1%1st Place
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15.75Drexel University-1.130.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 13.1% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Barnes | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Asher Green | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 3.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Javier Garcon | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Schmid | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 3.5% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 3.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 27.2% | 15.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 3.1% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 11.3% | 69.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.