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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+7.98vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+6.50vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.64vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University4.01+4.85vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+4.86vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.88+3.58vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.95+2.38vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.05+0.47vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.05+4.10vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02+3.41vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.22vs Predicted
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12Stanford University4.05-3.15vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.55-6.14vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University4.71-8.10vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-5.69vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.03-2.80vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-7.82vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.06-4.73vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.85-5.02vs Predicted
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20University of Minnesota2.53-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.5Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.85Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.86Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.58Boston College3.880.0%1st Place
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9.38College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.47Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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13.1Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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13.41University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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14.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.85Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.86Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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5.9Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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13.2Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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13.27SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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13.98University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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15.46University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| William Haeger | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Alex Cook | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Ben Spector | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 8.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 16.5% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Graham Landy | 9.5% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.6% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Ian Towill | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Steel | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 12.7% |
| Drake Lundeen | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.