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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+8.25vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+7.40vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+3.70vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+5.83vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+3.96vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.71-0.01vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05+6.52vs Predicted
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8Stanford University4.05+0.53vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.10vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.50vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.17vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.95-2.61vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.85+1.37vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.02-0.69vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.88-5.55vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College4.05-7.34vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University4.01-8.30vs Predicted
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18Tufts University4.08-9.39vs Predicted
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19Boston University3.03-5.86vs Predicted
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20University of Minnesota2.53-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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6.7Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.83Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.96Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.99Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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13.52Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.53Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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14.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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13.17SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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14.37University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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13.31University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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9.45Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.7Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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13.14Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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15.44University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Graham Landy | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Colin Smith | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.8% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% |
| Ben Spector | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Fox | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 15.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% |
| Alex Cook | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| William Haeger | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ian Towill | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% |
| Drake Lundeen | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.