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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+7.07vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+6.53vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.64+6.42vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+3.11vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.49+4.92vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.82+2.45vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.37+3.73vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+2.76vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+1.62vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.47+0.06vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.88-2.75vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.64-2.51vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.05-0.65vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-5.51vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.32-0.16vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-8.74vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota1.95-0.80vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.72-4.49vs Predicted
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19Stanford University3.04-7.07vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College2.63-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.53Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.42College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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7.11Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.92Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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8.45Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.73Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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10.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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10.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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10.06Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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8.25Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.49Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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12.35University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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14.84Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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16.2University of Minnesota1.950.0%1st Place
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13.51University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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11.93Stanford University3.040.0%1st Place
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13.99SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Mac Mace | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Raul Rios | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Scott Houck | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| William Hutchings | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Elliott Morrill | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Connor Needham | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% |
| Philip Crain | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ian Paice | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 16.4% | 20.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Grosch | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 16.1% | 32.7% |
| Brendan Boylan | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 10.0% |
| Michael Dahl | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.