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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+9.68vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+5.10vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+5.29vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.05+7.94vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.79+3.48vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.82+2.48vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.32+8.34vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+2.82vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.47+0.87vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-1.45vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-3.64vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.72+1.64vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.37-2.10vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.63-0.20vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.89-6.88vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.64-6.74vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.49-7.24vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.64-8.64vs Predicted
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19Stanford University3.04-7.13vs Predicted
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20University of Minnesota1.95-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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7.1Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.29Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.94University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.48Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.48Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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15.34Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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9.87Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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13.64University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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10.9Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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13.8SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.12Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.26Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.76Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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9.36College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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11.87Stanford University3.040.0%1st Place
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16.38University of Minnesota1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Morrill | 4.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Raul Rios | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Ian Paice | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 21.1% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Connor Needham | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Philip Crain | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Boylan | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% |
| William Hutchings | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 12.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Scott Houck | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Mac Mace | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% |
| Michael Dahl | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Grosch | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.