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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College0.36+1.58vs Predicted
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2Amherst College-0.89+2.42vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.37+0.64vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College0.18-1.25vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.79-0.80vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-0.65vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.42-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Dartmouth College0.3630.9%1st Place
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4.42Amherst College-0.899.3%1st Place
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3.64Middlebury College-0.3714.8%1st Place
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2.75Dartmouth College0.1826.6%1st Place
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4.2Middlebury College-0.799.4%1st Place
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5.35University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.423.8%1st Place
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5.05Middlebury College-1.425.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Vogel | 30.9% | 23.8% | 19.1% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| James Knowlton | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 18.5% | 16.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 14.8% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 5.9% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 26.6% | 24.1% | 19.3% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Grace Augspurger | 9.4% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 19.9% | 15.9% | 11.9% |
| Andy Giaya | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 21.9% | 36.5% |
| William Procter | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 23.9% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.