← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University5.19+2.82vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University3.53+7.09vs Predicted
-
3Washington College3.19+7.30vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+0.55vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College4.15+1.60vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University3.76+1.99vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-1.38vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy4.34-2.04vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania3.63-0.53vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-0.51vs Predicted
-
11Colgate University2.53+1.52vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.89-0.43vs Predicted
-
13Hampton University1.86+1.32vs Predicted
-
14University of Virginia3.54-5.45vs Predicted
-
15Ocean County College2.88-3.83vs Predicted
-
16Princeton University1.50-0.55vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University2.84-5.43vs Predicted
-
18Columbia University1.99-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.82Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
-
9.09Fordham University3.530.0%1st Place
-
10.3Washington College3.190.0%1st Place
-
4.55St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.2%1st Place
-
6.6SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
-
7.99Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
-
5.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
-
5.96U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
-
8.47University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
-
9.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
-
12.52Colgate University2.530.0%1st Place
-
11.57Cornell University2.890.0%1st Place
-
14.32Hampton University1.860.0%1st Place
-
8.55University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
-
11.17Ocean County College2.880.0%1st Place
-
15.45Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
-
11.57George Washington University2.840.0%1st Place
-
13.99Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 21.0% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carl Shorett | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Conner Blouin | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Michael Menninger | 15.7% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Blouin | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Vann | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Gary Herring | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Scott Layton | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 7.3% |
| Vincent Andrews | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Shane Horsford | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 18.9% | 22.7% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Gene Merewether | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 38.0% |
| William Ricketson | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| John Croll | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.