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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.16+5.07vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+4.45vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+2.78vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.07+6.54vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.73+5.58vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+0.86vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.54+1.82vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.72+4.39vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.73-2.80vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.22-1.34vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.57-6.20vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.79-5.01vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-1.61vs Predicted
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14Penn State University1.13-3.95vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.43-2.67vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.13-1.88vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.55-1.99vs Predicted
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18Virginia Tech-0.20-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07University of Pennsylvania2.1610.2%1st Place
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6.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0510.4%1st Place
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5.78Georgetown University2.2010.2%1st Place
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10.54George Washington University1.073.2%1st Place
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10.58Christopher Newport University0.732.9%1st Place
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6.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.138.3%1st Place
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8.82Fordham University1.544.5%1st Place
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12.39Hampton University0.721.9%1st Place
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6.2Webb Institute1.739.4%1st Place
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8.66Old Dominion University1.225.5%1st Place
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4.8U. S. Naval Academy2.5714.6%1st Place
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6.99Cornell University1.797.6%1st Place
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11.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.642.9%1st Place
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10.05Penn State University1.133.1%1st Place
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12.33Columbia University0.432.1%1st Place
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14.12SUNY Maritime College-0.131.4%1st Place
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15.01Washington College-0.550.8%1st Place
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13.97Virginia Tech-0.200.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 7.6% |
| Rayne Duff | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Brindley | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Henry Allgeier | 14.6% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Eva DeCastro | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% |
| Luke Barker | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 21.1% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 18.1% | 33.1% |
| Daniel Hale | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.