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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+7.07vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+5.10vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+5.55vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+4.51vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.88+3.13vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+4.86vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.64+2.55vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+2.85vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.47+0.96vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.64-0.73vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota1.95+5.27vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.79-3.24vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.72+0.77vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.49-4.11vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.37-4.54vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.05-4.10vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.32-2.12vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.63-4.09vs Predicted
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19Stanford University3.04-7.10vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-12.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.1Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.55Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.13Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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9.55Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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9.96Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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9.27College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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16.27University of Minnesota1.950.0%1st Place
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8.76Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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13.77University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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9.89Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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10.46Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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11.9University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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14.88Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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13.91SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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11.9Stanford University3.040.0%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 6.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Raul Rios | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Philip Crain | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Elliott Morrill | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Connor Needham | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Mac Mace | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Grosch | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 15.1% | 37.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Boylan | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.1% |
| Scott Houck | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| William Hutchings | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Ian Paice | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 19.1% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 11.4% |
| Michael Dahl | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.