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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College-0.79+3.27vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.36+0.63vs Predicted
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3Amherst College-0.89+1.34vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College0.18-1.25vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.37-1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-0.64vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.42-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Middlebury College-0.799.2%1st Place
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2.63Dartmouth College0.3629.1%1st Place
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4.34Amherst College-0.8910.3%1st Place
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2.75Dartmouth College0.1826.3%1st Place
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3.63Middlebury College-0.3715.2%1st Place
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5.36University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.424.6%1st Place
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5.02Middlebury College-1.425.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Augspurger | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 11.7% |
| Connor Vogel | 29.1% | 24.7% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| James Knowlton | 10.3% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 14.5% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 26.3% | 23.4% | 21.1% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Penelope Weekes | 15.2% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 19.8% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 5.9% |
| Andy Giaya | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 37.8% |
| William Procter | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 21.7% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.