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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College-1.46+3.09vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.03+0.32vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.83+1.50vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College0.87-2.37vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-1.00vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-1.69-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Middlebury College-1.465.2%1st Place
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2.32Middlebury College0.0324.6%1st Place
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4.5Middlebury College-1.834.2%1st Place
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1.63Dartmouth College0.8755.3%1st Place
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4.0University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.776.0%1st Place
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4.45Amherst College-1.694.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Joseph | 5.2% | 9.3% | 18.9% | 23.2% | 23.9% | 19.4% |
| Walter Chiles | 24.6% | 37.6% | 23.6% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 4.2% | 6.5% | 12.7% | 19.8% | 24.9% | 31.9% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 55.3% | 30.5% | 11.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kate Myler | 6.0% | 10.1% | 19.4% | 24.2% | 22.2% | 18.0% |
| Adrian Whitney | 4.5% | 6.0% | 14.2% | 20.6% | 24.7% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.