← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College0.87+0.62vs Predicted
-
2Middlebury College0.03+0.34vs Predicted
-
3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+1.05vs Predicted
-
4Middlebury College-1.46+0.10vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College-1.83-0.46vs Predicted
-
6Amherst College-1.69-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.62Dartmouth College0.8756.9%1st Place
-
2.34Middlebury College0.0324.2%1st Place
-
4.05University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.775.7%1st Place
-
4.1Middlebury College-1.465.0%1st Place
-
4.54Middlebury College-1.834.0%1st Place
-
4.34Amherst College-1.694.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Koelbel | 56.9% | 28.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 24.2% | 37.1% | 23.2% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Kate Myler | 5.7% | 10.0% | 19.5% | 23.2% | 21.9% | 19.8% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 5.0% | 10.5% | 17.0% | 23.2% | 25.2% | 19.1% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 4.0% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 24.9% | 34.1% |
| Adrian Whitney | 4.2% | 6.9% | 16.2% | 21.9% | 24.4% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.