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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.05+10.97vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+6.36vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+6.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.25vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+3.50vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.04+6.18vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79+1.85vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.72+5.22vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.63+4.80vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.37+0.47vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota2.01+5.15vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.47-1.73vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-1.58vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.64-4.78vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.89-6.85vs Predicted
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16Boston College4.12-8.86vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.88-9.04vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.49-7.95vs Predicted
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19Boston University2.32-4.12vs Predicted
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20Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-9.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.97University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.36Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.35Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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12.18Stanford University3.040.0%1st Place
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8.85Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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13.22University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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13.8SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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10.47Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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16.15University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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10.27Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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9.22College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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8.15Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.14Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.96Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.05Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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14.88Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Philip Crain | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Dahl | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Boylan | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% |
| Julia Paxton | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% |
| William Hutchings | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 16.4% | 34.4% |
| Connor Needham | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Mac Mace | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Raul Rios | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Scott Houck | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Ian Paice | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 20.4% |
| Elliott Morrill | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.