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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+2.99vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.87-0.36vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.03-0.63vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.83+0.51vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.46-0.85vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-1.69-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.776.2%1st Place
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1.64Dartmouth College0.8756.1%1st Place
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2.37Middlebury College0.0324.6%1st Place
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4.51Middlebury College-1.834.0%1st Place
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4.15Middlebury College-1.464.7%1st Place
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4.36Amherst College-1.694.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Myler | 6.2% | 10.6% | 19.4% | 23.6% | 22.1% | 18.0% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 56.1% | 29.0% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Walter Chiles | 24.6% | 35.7% | 23.7% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 4.0% | 7.1% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 23.0% | 33.9% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 4.7% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 23.2% | 25.4% | 20.0% |
| Adrian Whitney | 4.3% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 20.5% | 25.2% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.