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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+8.23vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.05+10.03vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+5.67vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.82+4.42vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.89+3.03vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+4.09vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.47+3.41vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+2.82vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.63+4.69vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-2.88vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.64-1.67vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.04+0.27vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-1.95vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.88-5.88vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.37-4.54vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.72-2.63vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.79-8.67vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota2.01-1.85vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-11.77vs Predicted
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20Boston University2.32-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.23College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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12.03University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.42Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.03Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.09Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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10.41Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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10.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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13.69SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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7.12Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.33Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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12.27Stanford University3.040.0%1st Place
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11.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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8.12Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.46Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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13.37University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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16.15University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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15.18Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Philip Crain | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Connor Needham | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Julia Paxton | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 10.2% |
| Raul Rios | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Michael Dahl | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Elliott Morrill | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| William Hutchings | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Brendan Boylan | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 33.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Paice | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.