← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+7.51vs Predicted
-
2Boston College4.12+5.12vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.37+7.61vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.30vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.49+4.94vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.88+2.28vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.89+1.36vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island3.05+3.73vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College2.63+4.75vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+1.03vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.64-1.64vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston3.64-2.52vs Predicted
-
13Boston University2.32+2.34vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University3.79-5.49vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin2.72-1.66vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-5.33vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University3.82-8.76vs Predicted
-
18Stanford University3.04-5.91vs Predicted
-
19University of Minnesota1.95-2.82vs Predicted
-
20Roger Williams University3.47-9.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
-
7.12Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
10.61Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
-
7.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.94Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
-
8.28Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
8.36Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
11.73University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
-
13.75SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
-
11.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
-
9.36Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
9.48College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
-
15.34Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
-
8.51Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
13.34University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
-
10.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
-
8.24Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
12.09Stanford University3.040.0%1st Place
-
16.18University of Minnesota1.950.0%1st Place
-
10.13Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Crain | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Raul Rios | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Hutchings | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Scott Houck | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% |
| Julia Paxton | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Mac Mace | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Ian Paice | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 23.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Boylan | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 9.5% |
| Elliott Morrill | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Michael Dahl | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Grosch | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 34.1% |
| Connor Needham | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.