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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College0.87+0.65vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.03+0.32vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.46+1.13vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-1.69+0.37vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-0.96vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.83-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65Dartmouth College0.8754.4%1st Place
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2.32Middlebury College0.0327.3%1st Place
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4.13Middlebury College-1.465.0%1st Place
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4.37Amherst College-1.693.8%1st Place
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4.04University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.775.9%1st Place
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4.49Middlebury College-1.833.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Koelbel | 54.4% | 30.9% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 27.3% | 34.6% | 21.8% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 5.0% | 8.8% | 17.9% | 24.5% | 24.1% | 19.7% |
| Adrian Whitney | 3.8% | 7.6% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 25.1% | 27.3% |
| Kate Myler | 5.9% | 10.7% | 18.4% | 23.0% | 22.4% | 19.7% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 3.6% | 7.4% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 24.2% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.