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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College0.87+0.64vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+2.05vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.03-0.67vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-1.69+0.35vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.46-0.88vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.83-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.64Dartmouth College0.8755.8%1st Place
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4.05University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.775.3%1st Place
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2.33Middlebury College0.0326.1%1st Place
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4.35Amherst College-1.694.2%1st Place
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4.12Middlebury College-1.465.0%1st Place
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4.52Middlebury College-1.833.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Koelbel | 55.8% | 29.8% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kate Myler | 5.3% | 9.0% | 21.6% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 19.2% |
| Walter Chiles | 26.1% | 35.9% | 22.8% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Adrian Whitney | 4.2% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 20.2% | 24.8% | 27.4% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 5.0% | 9.5% | 18.1% | 23.6% | 23.2% | 20.6% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 3.7% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 19.2% | 25.6% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.