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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+8.28vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.05+9.98vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.37+7.59vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+3.09vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+3.49vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+2.28vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.64+2.57vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.89-0.03vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+1.88vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.63+3.84vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota1.95+5.31vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.79-3.24vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.32+2.28vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-5.62vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.66vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.49-6.05vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-6.43vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.72-4.55vs Predicted
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19Stanford University3.04-7.10vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University3.47-9.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.28College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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11.98University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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10.59Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.28Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.57Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.97Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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13.84SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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16.31University of Minnesota1.950.0%1st Place
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8.76Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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15.28Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.38Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.95Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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13.45University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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11.9Stanford University3.040.0%1st Place
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10.12Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| William Hutchings | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Raul Rios | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Philip Crain | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Julia Paxton | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% |
| Ryan Grosch | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 15.4% | 36.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ian Paice | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 21.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Scott Houck | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Elliott Morrill | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Brendan Boylan | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 8.7% |
| Michael Dahl | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Connor Needham | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.