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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.49+8.90vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+5.09vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+8.13vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.64+5.26vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+3.38vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+2.27vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.63+7.16vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.64+1.00vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.89-1.03vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.47+0.07vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.79-2.36vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-0.99vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.37-2.15vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.05-2.10vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.64vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-7.55vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota2.01-1.00vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.32-2.88vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.72-5.68vs Predicted
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20Stanford University3.04-7.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.9Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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7.09Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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9.26College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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8.38Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.27Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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14.16SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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9.0Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.97Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.07Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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8.64Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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10.85Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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11.9University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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16.0University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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15.12Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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13.32University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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12.14Stanford University3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Houck | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Raul Rios | 10.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Mac Mace | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Julia Paxton | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 11.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Connor Needham | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Elliott Morrill | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| William Hutchings | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Philip Crain | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 31.1% |
| Ian Paice | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 22.4% |
| Brendan Boylan | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% |
| Michael Dahl | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.