← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College0.87+0.60vs Predicted
-
2Middlebury College0.03+0.35vs Predicted
-
3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+1.05vs Predicted
-
4Amherst College-1.69+0.38vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College-1.46-0.90vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College-1.83-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.6Dartmouth College0.8758.2%1st Place
-
2.35Middlebury College0.0323.5%1st Place
-
4.05University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.775.7%1st Place
-
4.38Amherst College-1.693.8%1st Place
-
4.1Middlebury College-1.465.7%1st Place
-
4.52Middlebury College-1.833.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Koelbel | 58.2% | 27.6% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 23.5% | 37.9% | 23.8% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Kate Myler | 5.7% | 10.1% | 18.1% | 24.6% | 23.2% | 18.4% |
| Adrian Whitney | 3.8% | 7.8% | 15.5% | 21.0% | 23.5% | 28.3% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 5.7% | 9.2% | 18.5% | 22.6% | 24.1% | 20.1% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 3.1% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 24.7% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.