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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+1.57vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+1.55vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.03+0.54vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.11+1.08vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.93-1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.19-1.11vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.29-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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3.55University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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3.54Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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5.08Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.75Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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4.62Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Swain | 34.2% | 21.9% | 17.9% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 15.1% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 20.3% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 5.9% |
| James Barry | 15.7% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 9.9% | 6.6% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 21.7% | 30.2% |
| Gabriel Salk | 12.2% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 8.4% |
| Patrick Penwell | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 21.0% | 26.3% |
| Christopher Jensen | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 21.4% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.