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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College1.04+0.63vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.55+1.36vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.49+0.27vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.54-0.81vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-2.05+0.05vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.43-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63Hillsdale College1.0456.7%1st Place
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3.36Marquette University-0.5511.9%1st Place
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3.27Ohio State University-0.4912.6%1st Place
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3.19Northwestern University-0.5411.6%1st Place
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5.05University of Iowa-2.053.0%1st Place
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4.49Marquette University-1.434.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 56.7% | 28.4% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Etain McKinney | 11.9% | 18.3% | 22.2% | 23.4% | 17.5% | 6.5% |
| Molly Sheridan | 12.6% | 18.1% | 24.6% | 24.2% | 15.4% | 5.0% |
| Anna Kovacs | 11.6% | 22.3% | 25.3% | 22.1% | 13.7% | 5.1% |
| Michael Gartlan | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 21.2% | 54.4% |
| John Riordan | 4.2% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 31.6% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.