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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College1.04+0.65vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.55+1.42vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.49+0.25vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.54-0.89vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.43-0.51vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-2.05-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65Hillsdale College1.0456.9%1st Place
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3.42Marquette University-0.559.9%1st Place
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3.25Ohio State University-0.4912.1%1st Place
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3.11Northwestern University-0.5413.8%1st Place
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4.49Marquette University-1.434.9%1st Place
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5.08University of Iowa-2.052.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 56.9% | 27.6% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Etain McKinney | 9.9% | 18.0% | 23.2% | 24.5% | 17.8% | 6.7% |
| Molly Sheridan | 12.1% | 20.6% | 24.4% | 22.2% | 14.6% | 6.0% |
| Anna Kovacs | 13.8% | 22.6% | 24.2% | 22.2% | 12.9% | 4.4% |
| John Riordan | 4.9% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 31.9% | 28.1% |
| Michael Gartlan | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 21.9% | 54.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.