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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+2.65vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+0.57vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.03+0.56vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.11+1.08vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99-1.41vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.19-1.08vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.29-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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2.57Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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3.56Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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5.08Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.59University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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4.64Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 16.4% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 7.6% |
| Duncan Swain | 31.5% | 24.0% | 20.1% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| James Barry | 16.1% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 19.8% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 6.1% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 21.2% | 30.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 14.5% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 7.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 20.8% | 26.6% |
| Christopher Jensen | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 21.4% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.