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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College1.04+0.70vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.54+1.12vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.49+0.26vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.55-0.62vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.43-0.55vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-2.05-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Hillsdale College1.0454.2%1st Place
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3.12Northwestern University-0.5414.4%1st Place
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3.26Ohio State University-0.4912.9%1st Place
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3.38Marquette University-0.5511.3%1st Place
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4.45Marquette University-1.434.5%1st Place
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5.09University of Iowa-2.052.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 54.2% | 27.8% | 12.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 14.4% | 21.5% | 24.1% | 21.8% | 14.0% | 4.1% |
| Molly Sheridan | 12.9% | 19.2% | 22.7% | 23.8% | 16.7% | 4.8% |
| Etain McKinney | 11.3% | 18.8% | 21.6% | 23.5% | 18.4% | 6.4% |
| John Riordan | 4.5% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 30.9% | 28.1% |
| Michael Gartlan | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 19.3% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.