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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+2.62vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+1.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65-0.43vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.03-0.41vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.11+0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.19-1.10vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.29-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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3.57University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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2.57Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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3.59Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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5.09Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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4.65Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 16.4% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 7.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 15.8% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 6.5% |
| Duncan Swain | 29.6% | 27.5% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| James Barry | 16.7% | 14.7% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 6.3% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 19.6% | 31.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 27.1% |
| Christopher Jensen | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 23.4% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.