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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+5.98vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+3.80vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.57+1.79vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.96+3.01vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.16+1.04vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+0.54vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.13+6.83vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.07+2.62vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.43+3.45vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.22-1.23vs Predicted
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11Penn State University1.13-0.90vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.73-1.54vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.73-6.91vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.72-1.49vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.54-6.13vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-4.66vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.55-2.10vs Predicted
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18Virginia Tech-0.20-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.138.3%1st Place
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5.8Georgetown University2.2011.9%1st Place
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4.79U. S. Naval Academy2.5714.6%1st Place
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7.01Cornell University1.968.4%1st Place
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6.04University of Pennsylvania2.1610.8%1st Place
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6.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.059.6%1st Place
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13.83SUNY Maritime College-0.131.0%1st Place
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10.62George Washington University1.072.4%1st Place
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12.45Columbia University0.432.1%1st Place
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8.77Old Dominion University1.224.5%1st Place
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10.1Penn State University1.133.8%1st Place
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10.46Christopher Newport University0.732.9%1st Place
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6.09Webb Institute1.739.2%1st Place
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12.51Hampton University0.721.7%1st Place
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8.87Fordham University1.544.8%1st Place
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11.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.642.2%1st Place
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14.9Washington College-0.550.9%1st Place
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13.89Virginia Tech-0.201.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 14.6% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 20.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Eva DeCastro | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 8.2% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 18.1% | 33.8% |
| Daniel Hale | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.