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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.11+3.94vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.29+2.72vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.19+1.91vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99-0.37vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.03-1.43vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.93-2.28vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.65-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.72Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.91University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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3.57Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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3.72Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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2.5Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hollerbach | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 20.0% | 28.7% |
| Christopher Jensen | 7.5% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 23.7% |
| Patrick Penwell | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 20.8% | 26.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 15.1% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 19.6% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 6.6% |
| James Barry | 15.4% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 11.1% | 6.3% |
| Gabriel Salk | 14.1% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 7.4% |
| Duncan Swain | 33.4% | 24.2% | 18.8% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.