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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College1.04+0.69vs Predicted
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2University of Iowa-2.05+3.14vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.54+0.14vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.55-0.69vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.43-0.56vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.49-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69Hillsdale College1.0454.2%1st Place
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5.14University of Iowa-2.051.8%1st Place
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3.14Northwestern University-0.5413.9%1st Place
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3.31Marquette University-0.5513.2%1st Place
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4.44Marquette University-1.434.5%1st Place
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3.27Ohio State University-0.4912.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 54.2% | 28.1% | 12.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Gartlan | 1.8% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 20.5% | 56.6% |
| Anna Kovacs | 13.9% | 22.1% | 23.6% | 21.6% | 14.0% | 4.7% |
| Etain McKinney | 13.2% | 17.8% | 22.0% | 24.2% | 16.9% | 5.9% |
| John Riordan | 4.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 32.1% | 27.4% |
| Molly Sheridan | 12.3% | 19.2% | 23.5% | 24.1% | 15.7% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.