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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.54+2.15vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College1.04-0.31vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.55+0.39vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.49-0.70vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.43-0.59vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-2.05-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Northwestern University-0.5414.8%1st Place
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1.69Hillsdale College1.0455.0%1st Place
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3.39Marquette University-0.5511.1%1st Place
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3.3Ohio State University-0.4910.8%1st Place
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4.41Marquette University-1.435.2%1st Place
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5.06University of Iowa-2.053.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Kovacs | 14.8% | 20.4% | 23.6% | 21.6% | 15.7% | 4.0% |
| Arden Carleton | 55.0% | 27.7% | 11.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Etain McKinney | 11.1% | 18.4% | 22.4% | 22.6% | 18.9% | 6.6% |
| Molly Sheridan | 10.8% | 21.1% | 23.2% | 23.3% | 15.6% | 6.1% |
| John Riordan | 5.2% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 29.8% | 27.4% |
| Michael Gartlan | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 18.9% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.