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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.03+2.48vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+1.58vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.11+2.03vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.29+0.79vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.65-2.38vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.19-1.08vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.93-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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3.58University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.03Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.79Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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2.62Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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4.92University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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3.57Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Barry | 18.2% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 6.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 14.6% | 17.2% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 6.5% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 22.3% | 28.3% |
| Christopher Jensen | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 21.8% | 23.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 30.2% | 25.1% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Penwell | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 27.9% |
| Gabriel Salk | 16.3% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 10.7% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.