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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College1.04+0.63vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.54+1.13vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.55+0.41vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.49-0.69vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.43-0.55vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-2.05-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63Hillsdale College1.0458.4%1st Place
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3.13Northwestern University-0.5413.5%1st Place
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3.41Marquette University-0.5510.8%1st Place
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3.31Ohio State University-0.4910.9%1st Place
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4.45Marquette University-1.434.2%1st Place
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5.08University of Iowa-2.052.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 58.4% | 26.3% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 13.5% | 21.5% | 25.6% | 22.0% | 13.3% | 4.2% |
| Etain McKinney | 10.8% | 18.4% | 22.1% | 22.9% | 19.6% | 6.2% |
| Molly Sheridan | 10.9% | 20.4% | 23.6% | 23.1% | 15.8% | 6.2% |
| John Riordan | 4.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 30.4% | 27.9% |
| Michael Gartlan | 2.3% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 20.0% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.