← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont2.99+2.53vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.65+0.55vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.03+0.56vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.11+1.08vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.93-1.25vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University2.29-1.26vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.19-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.53University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
-
2.55Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
-
3.56Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
-
5.08Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
-
3.75Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
-
4.74Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
-
4.79University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 17.3% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 6.5% |
| Duncan Swain | 31.7% | 24.9% | 19.1% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| James Barry | 16.2% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 6.3% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 20.9% | 30.7% |
| Gabriel Salk | 13.0% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 8.1% |
| Christopher Jensen | 7.9% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 20.3% | 22.5% |
| Patrick Penwell | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 16.8% | 21.7% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.