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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+2.65vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+0.59vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.11+2.03vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.19+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99-1.38vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.29-1.24vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.03-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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2.59Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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5.03Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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4.76Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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3.41Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 16.8% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 8.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 30.2% | 25.4% | 19.6% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 22.1% | 28.4% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 22.4% | 26.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 14.0% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 7.4% |
| Christopher Jensen | 8.0% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 23.3% |
| James Barry | 18.6% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 19.0% | 14.7% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.