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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College1.04+0.70vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.49+1.28vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.55+0.36vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.02-1.27vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.88-0.11vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-2.05-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Hillsdale College1.0454.7%1st Place
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3.28Ohio State University-0.4912.2%1st Place
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3.36Marquette University-0.5510.2%1st Place
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2.73Northwestern University-0.0218.0%1st Place
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4.89Marquette University-1.882.9%1st Place
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5.05University of Iowa-2.052.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arden Carleton | 54.7% | 26.8% | 13.6% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Molly Sheridan | 12.2% | 18.0% | 23.0% | 27.2% | 16.0% | 3.7% |
Etain McKinney | 10.2% | 18.4% | 22.8% | 28.1% | 15.4% | 5.1% |
Cole Abbott | 18.0% | 28.1% | 27.5% | 17.7% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
Zach Sonkin | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 32.5% | 40.8% |
Michael Gartlan | 2.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 28.1% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.