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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.11+3.96vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.03+1.52vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+0.61vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.93-0.25vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.65-2.37vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.19-1.12vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.29-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.52Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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3.61University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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3.75Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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2.63Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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4.88University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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4.66Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hollerbach | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 30.5% |
| James Barry | 15.2% | 18.5% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 6.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 15.3% | 16.5% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 5.5% |
| Gabriel Salk | 14.4% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 7.7% |
| Duncan Swain | 31.5% | 23.1% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Penwell | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 19.3% | 26.9% |
| Christopher Jensen | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 21.3% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.