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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College1.04+0.69vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.02+0.80vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.49+0.27vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.55-0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-2.05+0.02vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.88-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69Hillsdale College1.0453.9%1st Place
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2.8Northwestern University-0.0217.2%1st Place
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3.27Ohio State University-0.4912.2%1st Place
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3.37Marquette University-0.5511.0%1st Place
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5.02University of Iowa-2.052.5%1st Place
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4.85Marquette University-1.883.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 53.9% | 29.2% | 11.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cole Abbott | 17.2% | 26.1% | 27.4% | 19.8% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
| Molly Sheridan | 12.2% | 18.6% | 23.2% | 26.1% | 15.4% | 4.5% |
| Etain McKinney | 11.0% | 16.2% | 23.5% | 28.0% | 16.4% | 5.0% |
| Michael Gartlan | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 28.1% | 48.2% |
| Zach Sonkin | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 31.2% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.