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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College1.04+0.74vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.02+0.78vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.55+0.49vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.88+0.95vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.49-1.64vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-1.62-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Hillsdale College1.0451.5%1st Place
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2.78Northwestern University-0.0219.1%1st Place
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3.49Marquette University-0.5510.3%1st Place
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4.95Marquette University-1.883.2%1st Place
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3.36Ohio State University-0.4911.9%1st Place
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4.67University of Iowa-1.623.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 51.5% | 29.7% | 13.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Cole Abbott | 19.1% | 25.6% | 25.5% | 19.9% | 7.6% | 2.2% |
| Etain McKinney | 10.3% | 16.1% | 22.2% | 24.3% | 19.6% | 7.4% |
| Zach Sonkin | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 24.6% | 48.8% |
| Molly Sheridan | 11.9% | 16.9% | 23.0% | 25.4% | 17.2% | 5.6% |
| Mathew Boemmel | 3.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 29.8% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.