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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+1.58vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.93+1.65vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+0.62vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.19+0.94vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.03-1.43vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.29-1.26vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.11-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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3.65Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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3.57Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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4.74Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.91Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Swain | 33.8% | 22.7% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Gabriel Salk | 14.5% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 21.0% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 6.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 14.6% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 7.2% |
| Patrick Penwell | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 20.7% | 27.2% |
| James Barry | 14.3% | 19.2% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 6.6% |
| Christopher Jensen | 8.0% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 23.2% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 23.0% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.