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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+1.58vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.11+3.03vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.03+0.55vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.93-0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99-1.37vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.29-1.28vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.19-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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5.03Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.55Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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3.72Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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3.63University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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4.72Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Swain | 32.9% | 23.4% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 20.0% | 30.0% |
| James Barry | 14.7% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 6.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 15.2% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 7.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 14.0% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 6.7% |
| Christopher Jensen | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 23.2% |
| Patrick Penwell | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 21.4% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.