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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College1.04+0.76vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.55+1.47vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.49+0.35vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.02-1.19vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.88-0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-1.62-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Hillsdale College1.0449.9%1st Place
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3.47Marquette University-0.5511.7%1st Place
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3.35Ohio State University-0.4911.4%1st Place
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2.81Northwestern University-0.0219.3%1st Place
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4.94Marquette University-1.883.9%1st Place
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4.67University of Iowa-1.623.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 49.9% | 30.6% | 14.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Etain McKinney | 11.7% | 15.4% | 21.1% | 25.3% | 18.6% | 7.9% |
| Molly Sheridan | 11.4% | 17.7% | 22.9% | 26.5% | 15.6% | 5.9% |
| Cole Abbott | 19.3% | 25.2% | 25.6% | 17.8% | 9.7% | 2.5% |
| Zach Sonkin | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 25.4% | 48.0% |
| Mathew Boemmel | 3.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 29.9% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.