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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.02+1.62vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College1.04-0.37vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.55+0.27vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.49-0.93vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.88-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Northwestern University-0.0219.4%1st Place
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1.63Hillsdale College1.0455.1%1st Place
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3.27Marquette University-0.559.4%1st Place
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3.07Ohio State University-0.4913.1%1st Place
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4.42Marquette University-1.882.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Abbott | 19.4% | 29.1% | 27.2% | 19.2% | 5.2% |
| Arden Carleton | 55.1% | 30.1% | 11.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Etain McKinney | 9.4% | 16.8% | 26.4% | 32.4% | 15.1% |
| Molly Sheridan | 13.1% | 19.1% | 27.1% | 29.5% | 11.2% |
| Zach Sonkin | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 16.2% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.