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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+2.62vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+0.63vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.11+2.05vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99-0.29vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.45-0.40vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.19-1.04vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.03-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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2.63Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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5.05Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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4.6Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.96University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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3.43Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 16.6% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 7.7% |
| Duncan Swain | 28.9% | 26.7% | 18.9% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 21.6% | 29.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 15.2% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 7.2% |
| John Silvestri | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 19.8% |
| Patrick Penwell | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 28.9% |
| James Barry | 18.1% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.