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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+2.66vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+1.60vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.11+2.08vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65-1.35vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.190.00vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.03-2.44vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.45-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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3.6University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.08Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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2.65Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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5.0University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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3.56Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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4.44Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 17.1% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 8.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 14.4% | 17.2% | 20.2% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 10.1% | 6.9% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 32.5% |
| Duncan Swain | 29.8% | 24.0% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 21.8% | 28.4% |
| James Barry | 16.5% | 16.6% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 6.1% |
| John Silvestri | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 19.4% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.