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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College1.04+0.67vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.02+0.72vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.49+0.31vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.88+0.84vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.55-1.65vs Predicted
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6Cleveland State University-2.18-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67Hillsdale College1.0454.4%1st Place
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2.72Northwestern University-0.0217.8%1st Place
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3.31Ohio State University-0.4911.5%1st Place
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4.84Marquette University-1.882.5%1st Place
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3.35Marquette University-0.5511.8%1st Place
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5.09Cleveland State University-2.181.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 54.4% | 28.7% | 12.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cole Abbott | 17.8% | 29.1% | 26.1% | 18.0% | 8.0% | 1.0% |
| Molly Sheridan | 11.5% | 17.0% | 23.8% | 28.3% | 15.2% | 4.2% |
| Zach Sonkin | 2.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 35.4% | 36.5% |
| Etain McKinney | 11.8% | 16.4% | 23.6% | 26.8% | 15.4% | 5.9% |
| Zak Hamil | 1.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 25.4% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.