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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+2.66vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.03+1.54vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.11+2.08vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65-1.35vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.190.00vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99-2.38vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.45-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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3.54Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.08Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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2.65Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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5.0University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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4.44Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 16.9% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 8.0% |
| James Barry | 14.9% | 17.9% | 20.5% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 32.4% |
| Duncan Swain | 29.8% | 24.6% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 28.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 16.2% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 6.4% |
| John Silvestri | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.