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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College-0.70+1.92vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.09+0.16vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-1.28+0.69vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.14-0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-2.51+0.25vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.04-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Hillsdale College-0.7020.0%1st Place
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2.16Marquette University-0.0938.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Illinois-1.2812.5%1st Place
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3.58Northwestern University-1.1412.4%1st Place
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5.25University of Iowa-2.513.2%1st Place
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3.4Marquette University-1.0413.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Scanlon | 20.0% | 21.8% | 24.1% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 3.9% |
| Eli Erling | 38.1% | 28.7% | 18.6% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Bahda Hoang | 12.5% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 27.3% | 11.5% |
| Peter Spoerri | 12.4% | 14.5% | 18.3% | 21.8% | 23.6% | 9.3% |
| Maggie Lennon | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 67.0% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 13.7% | 17.6% | 18.0% | 23.5% | 20.0% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.