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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+5.95vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.96+4.94vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.16+3.12vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.73+2.23vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+0.77vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.57-1.20vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-0.50vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.07+2.55vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.54-0.27vs Predicted
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10Penn State University1.13-0.10vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.72+1.52vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.13+2.14vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.22-4.13vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.73-3.57vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.55+0.03vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-4.73vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-0.20-3.19vs Predicted
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18Columbia University0.43-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.138.2%1st Place
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6.94Cornell University1.967.6%1st Place
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6.12University of Pennsylvania2.1610.0%1st Place
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6.23Webb Institute1.739.6%1st Place
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5.77Georgetown University2.2011.4%1st Place
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4.8U. S. Naval Academy2.5714.8%1st Place
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6.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.2%1st Place
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10.55George Washington University1.073.2%1st Place
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8.73Fordham University1.545.5%1st Place
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9.9Penn State University1.133.9%1st Place
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12.52Hampton University0.722.2%1st Place
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14.14SUNY Maritime College-0.130.8%1st Place
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8.87Old Dominion University1.224.2%1st Place
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10.43Christopher Newport University0.734.0%1st Place
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15.03Washington College-0.550.7%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.642.5%1st Place
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13.81Virginia Tech-0.201.2%1st Place
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12.43Columbia University0.431.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 14.8% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% |
| Luke Barker | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 18.9% | 19.8% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 33.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Daniel Hale | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 19.7% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.