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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.11+3.99vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+1.63vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.93+0.74vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65-1.39vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.03-1.40vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.19-1.03vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.45-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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3.74Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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2.61Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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3.6Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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4.97University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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4.45Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hollerbach | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 19.6% | 31.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 14.0% | 16.8% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 10.0% | 7.2% |
| Gabriel Salk | 14.9% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 7.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 31.8% | 22.8% | 18.4% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| James Barry | 15.3% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 7.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 20.6% | 29.0% |
| John Silvestri | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 20.8% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.