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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.09+1.15vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-1.04+1.38vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College-0.70-0.05vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.14-0.45vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.28-1.34vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-2.51-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Marquette University-0.0939.7%1st Place
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3.38Marquette University-1.0414.5%1st Place
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2.95Hillsdale College-0.7019.8%1st Place
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3.55Northwestern University-1.1411.9%1st Place
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3.66University of Illinois-1.2811.2%1st Place
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5.29University of Iowa-2.512.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 39.7% | 27.2% | 17.5% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 14.5% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 20.5% | 7.6% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 19.8% | 22.8% | 20.7% | 19.9% | 12.7% | 4.2% |
| Peter Spoerri | 11.9% | 15.2% | 20.0% | 20.6% | 22.9% | 9.3% |
| Bahda Hoang | 11.2% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 20.9% | 25.0% | 10.7% |
| Maggie Lennon | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 14.2% | 67.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.