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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.09+1.14vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College-0.70+0.91vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.04+0.31vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-1.28-0.34vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.25-1.45vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-3.00-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Marquette University-0.0939.0%1st Place
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2.91Hillsdale College-0.7020.2%1st Place
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3.31Marquette University-1.0415.4%1st Place
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3.66University of Illinois-1.2811.1%1st Place
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3.55Northwestern University-1.2512.3%1st Place
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5.43University of Iowa-3.002.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 39.0% | 27.5% | 18.9% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 20.2% | 22.9% | 21.8% | 19.2% | 12.5% | 3.4% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 15.4% | 17.0% | 20.5% | 21.2% | 20.2% | 5.6% |
| Bahda Hoang | 11.1% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 22.1% | 27.3% | 8.9% |
| Annabel Edwards | 12.3% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 20.9% | 25.2% | 7.8% |
| Zachary Warren | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 74.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.