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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois-1.28+2.73vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.09+0.20vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.14+0.57vs Predicted
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4Hillsdale College-0.70-1.08vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.04-1.64vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-2.51-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Illinois-1.2811.2%1st Place
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2.2Marquette University-0.0938.0%1st Place
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3.57Northwestern University-1.1412.2%1st Place
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2.92Hillsdale College-0.7020.5%1st Place
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3.36Marquette University-1.0414.6%1st Place
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5.22University of Iowa-2.513.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahda Hoang | 11.2% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 19.9% | 26.8% | 11.6% |
| Eli Erling | 38.0% | 26.7% | 19.1% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Peter Spoerri | 12.2% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 21.9% | 22.9% | 9.8% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 20.5% | 22.4% | 21.4% | 19.2% | 12.6% | 3.8% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 14.6% | 17.6% | 20.0% | 20.4% | 19.6% | 7.8% |
| Maggie Lennon | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.